Dear FiveThirtyEight: I love you. You are the only ones doing awesome analyses such as looking at the 381 paintings done by PBS painter Bob Ross and analyzing his work. You gain such insights as:
About 18 percent of his paintings feature a cabin. Given that Ross painted a cabin, there’s a 35 percent chance that it’s on a lake, and a 40 percent chance there’s snow on the ground.
This might be the most readable article about conditional probability. My math degree feels much less lonely tonight.